Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.