EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 4, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough4 - 3Shrewsbury
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 41.37% | 27.49% | 31.14% |
| Both teams to score 48.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.96% | 57.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% | 77.93% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% | 27.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.47% | 62.53% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% | 33.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.84% | 70.16% |
| Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough 41.37%
Shrewsbury Town 31.14%
Draw 27.48%
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.37% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.14% |
Form Guide
