Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.