Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 74.26%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 9.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
