MX23RW : Friday, March 21 05:17:27| >> :60:2310:2310:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 31, 2022 at 5.01pm UK
 

W. Mannheim
0 - 0
Holstein Kiel


Baxter Bahn (55')
FT

Komenda (30'), Sander (32'), Arp (65'), Wolf (91'), Okyere Wriedt (111')
W. Mannheim win 5-3 on penalties
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Waldhof Mannheim and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: W. Mannheim 1-3 Union Berlin
Wednesday, October 27 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waldhof Mannheim win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waldhof Mannheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Waldhof MannheimDrawHolstein Kiel
39.22% (-0.529 -0.53) 24.62% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 36.15% (0.612 0.61)
Both teams to score 59.05% (0.38 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04% (0.454 0.45)43.96% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.66% (0.443 0.44)66.34% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)
Waldhof Mannheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)22.35% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.16% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)55.83% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05% (0.54600000000001 0.55)23.95% (-0.546 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.82% (0.775 0.77)58.18% (-0.773 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Waldhof Mannheim 39.22%
    Holstein Kiel 36.15%
    Draw 24.62%
Waldhof MannheimDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 39.22%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.62%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.083 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.057 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.15%

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