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Dagenham & Redbridge
National League | Gameweek 23
Jan 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Road
Dover Athletic

Dag & Red
3 - 1
Dover Athletic

Morias (29'), Walker (36'), Weston (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pavey (50')
Goodman (41'), Ofori-Twumasi (68')

Preview: Dagenham & Redbridge vs. Dover Athletic - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's National League clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Dover Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Dagenham & Redbridge will be aiming for the second victory against Dover Athletic in just eight days when they welcome the Whites to Victoria Road on Sunday.

The hosts enter the fixture just outside the playoffs in eighth place, while Dover are rooted to the bottom of the National League table.


Match preview

Dagenham & Redbridge manager Daryl McMahon in November 2019© Reuters

Dagenham & Redbridge may be a point outside of the playoff places, but due to the close nature of the National League, they may still harbour automatic promotion hopes, with the Daggers only five points off top spot.

They will be aiming for their fourth consecutive league victory on Sunday, while in their last two games they have scored three goals, while keeping two clean sheets.

One of those fixtures was a Boxing Day win over Sunday's opponents as a first-half brace from Matt Robinson helped the Daggers claim a 2-0 away victory against Dover.

Two days later, Daryl McMahon's side were celebrating another victory, with an Angelo Balanta strike proving enough to edge out Aldershot Town.

Having scored more goals at home (26) than any other side in the National League, the Daggers will be supremely confident of claiming three more points on Sunday.

Meanwhile, Dover are experiencing a dismal season as they sit bottom of the National League table with minus eight points.

Andy Hessenthaler's side were deducted 12 points before the season even started after failing to fulfil their fixtures last season.

This term, Dover have only collected four draws in the league, while they are still searching for their first victory of the campaign.

After losing to Dagenham & Redbridge on Boxing Day, Dover travelled to Woking, where goals from Jake Goodman and Ryan Hanson could not prevent their side from falling to a 3-2 defeat.

If they are to start picking up points, they need to improve defensively as Dover hold the worst defensive record in the league after shipping 48 goals this term.

Dagenham & Redbridge National League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Dagenham & Redbridge form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Dover Athletic National League form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Dover Athletic form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Mauro Vilhete came into the Dagenham & Redbridge starting lineup for Wednesday's encounter with Aldershot, and the midfielder is expected to keep his place in the side for Sunday's contest.

After scoring a brace in the reverse fixture on Boxing Day, Robinson will hope to find more goals from his midfield position on Sunday.

Balanta has scored three goals in his last four league games, and he will be looking to add to his tally against Dover.

As for the visitors, Alexis Andre is expected to keep his place in goal after making his debut for the club against Woking.

There is likely to be a change at left-back, with Junior Tiensia set to return to the starting lineup after dropping to the bench in midweek.

Meanwhile, Alfie Pavey is expected to be given the responsibility of leading the line for the visitors.

Dagenham & Redbridge possible starting lineup:
Justham; Wright, Zouma, Reynolds, Ling; Morias, Robinson, Sagaf, Vilhete; Balanta, Akanbi

Dover Athletic possible starting lineup:
Andre; Collinge, Ransom, Goodman, Tiensia; Woods, Hanson, Williamson; Da Costa, Arthur, Pavey


SM words green background

We say: Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 Dover Athletic

With Dagenham & Redbridge in impressive form, we expect them to make light work of a struggling Dover side, and we think that the hosts will cruise to a comfortable victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 14.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Dagenham & Redbridge in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dagenham & Redbridge.


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