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Cuiaba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Oct 2, 2021 at 9pm UK
 
America Mineiro

Cuiaba
0 - 2
America Mineiro


Paulao (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zarate (13'), Ademir (83')
Egea (33'), Patric (39')

Preview: Cuiaba vs. America Mineiro - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Cuiaba host America Mineiro on Saturday evening at Arena Pantanal in game week 23 of Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A.

Both sides have drawn their last two matches as they look to get back to winning ways here.


Match preview

Cuiaba players huddle before the match on June 6, 2021© Reuters

Founded in 2001 by former Palmeiras and Flamengo player Gaucho, Cuiaba have risen up the ranks in Brazil and find themselves in the top division after their Serie B promotion season earlier this year.

They have made a fine start to life in Serie A, sitting 10th in the division and are on a run of six matches without defeat, picking up 12 points in the process.

Jorginho's side have actually performed better away this season, losing just one match out of 11, and so they will be looking to improve their home record here since they have only recorded three league victories at Arena Pantanal in 11 games as they sit 17th in the home table.

This match will mark the return of fans who have been missing from Arena Pantanal for more than 18 months due to COVID-19, with 35% capacity permitted, and Cuiaba will be hoping their support can provide a boost as they push for a Copa Libertadores qualification spot.

America Mineiro were also promoted from Serie B last season, finishing second, but find themselves struggling in Serie A this term sitting in 15th and only one point above the drop zone.

They will also be wary of Gremio who sit in 18th position, two points below America Mineiro, but with two games in hand over their relegation rivals.

The visitors have performed poorly away from home this season and sit 18th in the away table, winning just one game against Bahia back in June in a seven-goal thriller.

However, they are undefeated in their last five away matches with five draws; all but one of those games finishing 1-1.

Vagner Mancini's side drew 0-0 with Cuiaba in the reverse fixture in June and the two sides had to settle for another goalless stalemate in the game prior to that when they met in Serie B.

The last victory between the two sides came in August 2020 when Cuiaba secured a narrow 1-0 away win, also in Serie B, with the games between the two sides being historically tight.

Cuiaba Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D

America Mineiro Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Cuiaba's Rafael Gava celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates June 23, 2021© Reuters

Cuiaba drew 0-0 last time out against Atletico Goianiense on Sunday evening using a 4-4-2 system with Elton returning to the lineup following his absence in the game prior, which ended in a 2-2 draw with Fluminense.

Elton is the hosts' top league goalscorer with six this season, and the 36-year-old will be looking to get back to scoring ways this time out with his last goal coming at the beginning of September.

Jorginho's men will have to deal with two absentees up against America Mineiro, with midfielder Camilo suspended after picking up a third yellow card as well as new signing Max Alves, who received a yellow card last time out - his third in the Brasileiro this season.

On the other hand, Cuiaba will be boosted with the returns of Marllon and Rafael Papagaio, who were suspended for their last match against Atletico-GO.

America Mineiro will have to deal with the likely absences of Eduardo, who has been missing for the last 10 matches due to injury, and forward Orlando Berrio, who has missed the last three games due to injury as well.

Cuiaba possible starting lineup:
Walter; Joao Lucas, Paulao, Marllon, Uendel; Cafu, Auremir, Pepe, Clayson; Elton, Cabrera

America Mineiro possible starting lineup:
Cavichioli; Patric, Silva, Eduardo, Marlon; Juninho, Schenfeld; Santos Ademir, De Souza, Azevedo; Zarate


SM words green background

We say: Cuiaba 0-0 America Mineiro

Cuiaba and America Mineiro both come into this in good form and we are predicting another draw here between the two sides to follow suit with their historical results.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Cuiaba vs America Mineiro

Cuiaba
16.7%
Draw
83.3%
America Mineiro
0.0%
6
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo32207552262667
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32187753272661
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4InternacionalInternacional321511644281656
5FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
6Sao Paulo321661045331254
7Bahia32137124240246
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco32127133646-1043
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Corinthians32911123740-338
14Fluminense32107152834-637
15CriciumaCriciuma32910133846-837
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


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