Marseille are overwhelming favourites for this clash - and rightfully so - with only a major capitulation from Les Olympiens potentially allowing Thionville a chance of progressing into the next stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 97.49%. A draw had a probability of 2.2% and a win for Thionville Lusitanos had a probability of 0.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-4 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.04%) and 0-5 (13.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.14%), while for a Thionville Lusitanos win it was 1-0 (0.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Thionville Lusitanos	Draw	Marseille
0.32% ( 0)	2.19% ( 0.41)	97.49% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 16.11% (

-4.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

82.39% (

-4.46)

17.6% (

4.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

65.4% (

-6.97)

34.6% (

6.96)

Thionville Lusitanos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

16.33% (

-4.5)

83.67% (

4.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

1.41% (

-0.93)

98.59% (

0.92)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.64% (

-0.44)

1.36% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

92.81% (

-1.96)

7.19% (

1.95)

Score Analysis

Thionville Lusitanos 0.32%

Marseille 97.47%

Draw 2.19%

Thionville Lusitanos	Draw	Marseille
Other @ 0.32% Total : 0.32%	0-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.41) Other @ 1.05% Total : 2.19%	0-4 @ 16.17% ( 1.5) 0-3 @ 15.04% ( 2.53) 0-5 @ 13.9% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.49% ( 2.48) 0-6 @ 9.97% ( -0.77) 0-7 @ 6.12% ( -1.07) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 1.46) 0-8 @ 3.29% ( -0.93) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.24) 1-5 @ 2.48% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 1.87% 1-6 @ 1.78% ( -0.73) 0-9 @ 1.57% ( -0.62) 1-7 @ 1.09% ( -0.59) Other @ 3.25% Total : 97.47%