Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.