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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 11, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
Athletico Paranaense

Metropolitanos
0 - 1
Athletico PR


Enrique Ferro Pena (18'), Bahachille (40'), Mancin (75'), (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vitinho (61')
Eduardo (65'), Vinicius (78')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Metropolitanos and Athletico Paranaense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
MetropolitanosDrawAthletico Paranaense
44.37%23.14%32.48%
Both teams to score 63.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.27%37.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.02%59.98%
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55%17.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.09%47.91%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92%23.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09%56.92%
Score Analysis
    Metropolitanos 44.37%
    Athletico Paranaense 32.48%
    Draw 23.14%
MetropolitanosDrawAthletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 9%
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 5.24%
3-2 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.57%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.56%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 4.03%
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-1 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.48%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2021 11.15pm
Group Stage
Athletico PR
1-0
Metropolitanos
Kayzer (54')
Nikao (44'), Khellven (64')

Jose Gabriel Cova Meneses (75'), Ernesto Mancin Salami (85'), (90+2')
Bustillo (79')
rhs 2.0
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