Emelec2 - 1Danubio
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Emelec 2-1 Danubio
th Emelec have been held to a draw in their last four competitive home games, and we think that they will have to settle for another point when they face Danubio in their final group match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Emelec in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Emelec.
| Result | ||
| Emelec | Draw | Danubio |
51.27% ( 0.01) | 26.99% | 21.75% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.91% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.39% ( -0) | 60.62% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.3% ( -0) | 80.71% ( 0) |
| Emelec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( 0) | 23.87% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.94% ( 0) | 58.06% ( -0) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.37% ( -0.01) | 43.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.18% ( -0.01) | 79.82% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emelec | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 14.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.23% 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.36% Total : 51.26% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.75% |
