Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Emelec in this match.

Result
Emelec	Draw	Huracan
40.59% ( -0.1)	28.14% ( 0.05)	31.27% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 46.62% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.64% (

-0.15)

59.35% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.25% (

-0.12)

79.74% (

0.11)

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33% (

-0.13)

28.67% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51% (

-0.16)

64.49% (

0.16)

Huracan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.35% (

-0.04)

34.64% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.63% (

-0.04)

71.37% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Emelec 40.58%

Huracan 31.26%

Draw 28.13%

Emelec	Draw	Huracan
1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 40.58%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 31.26%