Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Belgrano1 - 0Real Tomayapo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Belgrano and Real Tomayapo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Belgrano 4-4 Racing
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Real Tomayapo 0-2 Belgrano
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Real Tomayapo had a probability of 12.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Real Tomayapo win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Real Tomayapo |
68.05% ( 0.22) | 19.21% ( -0.04) | 12.74% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( -0.23) | 44.54% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( -0.23) | 66.9% ( 0.23) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.94% ( -0.01) | 12.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.44% ( -0.02) | 37.56% ( 0.02) |
| Real Tomayapo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.48% ( -0.42) | 45.52% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.66% ( -0.34) | 81.34% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
Belgrano 68.05%
Real Tomayapo 12.74%
Draw 19.21%
| Belgrano | Draw | Real Tomayapo |
| 2-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 68.05% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.21% | 0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.74% |
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 1.30am
