Expect to see plenty of urgency from each side who will know that a victory could very well send them into the next round of the competition. The firepower of Mass Bruta should carry them through, as Nacional have made a lot more mistakes than their Brazilian adversaries, which is why we are favouring Bragantino to win this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Bragantino
33.19% ( -0.03)	28.09% ( 0.01)	38.73% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.27% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.22% (

-0.03)

58.78% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.7% (

-0.02)

79.3% (

0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

-0.03)

32.98% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.43% (

-0.04)

69.57% (

0.04)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54%

29.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.53% (

65.47% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Nacional 33.18%

Bragantino 38.72%

Draw 28.08%

Nacional	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.18%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 38.72%