Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colo-Colo in this match.