Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz
Sportivo Trinidense1 - 1Colo-Colo
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Sportivo Trinidense and Colo-Colo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: El Nacional 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Thursday, February 29 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 29 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sportivo Trinidense | Draw | Colo-Colo |
24.31% ( 0.12) | 24.8% ( -0.01) | 50.88% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.75% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% ( 0.13) | 50.48% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( 0.12) | 72.4% ( -0.12) |
| Sportivo Trinidense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( 0.18) | 35.44% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.79% ( 0.19) | 72.21% ( -0.19) |
| Colo-Colo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( 0.01) | 19.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.07% ( 0.02) | 51.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Sportivo Trinidense 24.31%
Colo-Colo 50.88%
Draw 24.8%
| Sportivo Trinidense | Draw | Colo-Colo |
| 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.31% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 50.88% |
