Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Sportivo Trinidense1 - 1El Nacional
Romero (35')
Vera (4'), de la Cruz (11')
Vera (4'), de la Cruz (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Minda (74')
Peralta (40'), Palacios (61'), Minda (69')
Peralta (40'), Palacios (61'), Minda (69')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Sportivo Trinidense and El Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Nacional win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Nacional win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Sportivo Trinidense win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sportivo Trinidense | Draw | El Nacional |
30.63% ( 0.99) | 24.46% ( 0.36) | 44.91% ( -1.36) |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
