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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 23, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Boca Juniors
3 - 0
Caracas

Lopez (27'), Tevez (34', 44')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Villanueva (15'), Blanco (49')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Boca Juniors and Caracas.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 72.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 8.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.86%) and 3-0 (10.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.15%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawCaracas
72.33%19.5%8.16%
Both teams to score 32.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.81%57.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95%78.05%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.34%14.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.19%42.8%
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.58%62.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.16%91.83%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 72.31%
    Caracas 8.16%
    Draw 19.5%
Boca JuniorsDrawCaracas
1-0 @ 17.56%
2-0 @ 16.86%
3-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 7.95%
4-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 5.09%
4-1 @ 2.44%
5-0 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.2%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 72.31%
0-0 @ 9.15%
1-1 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.5%
0-1 @ 4.31%
1-2 @ 1.95%
0-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 8.16%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Caracas
1-1
Boca Juniors
Hernandez (55')
Celis (29'), Osio (84')
Abila (25')
Marcone (53'), Mas (62'), Buffarini (88')
rhs 2.0
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