Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
Aucas0 - 0Nublense
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Aucas 1-1 Nublense
Aucas will be hopeful of gaining revenge over Nublense when the Chilean club visit Ecuador, but the hosts may have to settle for a point as they aim to end a run of three straight losses. Given that Nublense have suffered a solitary defeat in their last six outings across all competitions, we expect the Red Devils to frustrate El Idolo de Quito once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aucas win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aucas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aucas | Draw | Nublense |
52.96% ( -0.48) | 25.22% ( 0.3) | 21.81% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
