Argentinos were the more consistent of the two sides in the group stage, but Flu have a quality finisher in Cano who does not need much of an opening to score. This could be more of a feel-out game for these two evenly-matched sides, which is why we believe that a stalemate is a logical scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Fluminense
47.2% ( 0.07)	25.32% ( -0.03)	27.48% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.98% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.77% (

0.1)

50.23% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.81% (

0.09)

72.19% (

-0.08)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.71% (

0.07)

21.3% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.77% (

0.11)

54.23% (

-0.11)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.31% (

0.02)

32.69% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.76% (

0.02)

69.24% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Argentinos Juniors 47.19%

Fluminense 27.48%

Draw 25.31%

Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.19%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.48%