Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parana win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parana win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.