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Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 2, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Villanovense

Villanovense
2 - 1
UD Ibiza

Gonzalez (62'), J. (67+67')
Olaortua (40'), Fuentes (40'), M. (87'), Ortiz (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Obolski (42')
Damar (3'), Olaortua (51')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Villanovense and UD Ibiza.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Villanovense
Wednesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Malaga 1-1 UD Ibiza
Saturday, May 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 47.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Villanovense had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.95%), while for a Villanovense win it was 1-0 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
VillanovenseDrawUD Ibiza
23.54% (-0.189 -0.19) 29.36% (-0.487 -0.49) 47.09% (0.677 0.68)
Both teams to score 39.07% (0.919 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.51% (1.229 1.23)66.49% (-1.228 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.08% (0.829 0.83)84.92% (-0.82900000000001 -0.83)
Villanovense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.73% (0.551 0.55)45.27% (-0.55 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.85% (0.431 0.43)81.14% (-0.431 -0.43)
UD Ibiza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (0.97 0.97)28.62% (-0.968 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (1.197 1.2)64.43% (-1.196 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Villanovense 23.54%
    UD Ibiza 47.08%
    Draw 29.35%
VillanovenseDrawUD Ibiza
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 5.09% (0.062 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.07% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.35% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 23.54%
0-0 @ 12.95% (-0.6 -0.6)
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 29.35%
0-1 @ 16.2% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-2 @ 10.13% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.19 0.19)
0-3 @ 4.23% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.166 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.085 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 47.08%

How you voted: Villanovense vs UD Ibiza

Villanovense
23.5%
Draw
5.9%
UD Ibiza
70.6%
17
rhs 2.0
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