Bristol Rovers and Chelsea Under-21s square off on Tuesday night knowing that victory could make the difference between progression and elimination in the EFL Trophy.
Both clubs possess a game in hand on the other teams in Group E, providing them each with an opportunity to book their place in the next round.
Match preview
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There have been times over the past seven-and-a-half months when it has seemed inevitable that Joey Barton would be removed from his position as Bristol Rovers manager.
However, despite losing 20 of his 31 games in charge, Barton's side have won four of their last seven outings to buy him some time in the dugout.
Collecting nine points from a possible 18 has moved Rovers into 16th position in the League Two standings, just four adrift of the playoff places.
Their most notable victory of the season came against Carlisle United last weekend, Rovers eventually prevailing by a 3-0 scoreline at the Memorial Stadium.
Rovers have also made a winning start in this competition in seeing off Cheltenham Town, a result which has given the fourth-tier club control of this group.
On the flip side, Chelsea Under-21s sit just a point adrift of their hosts after edging out Exeter City in a penalty shootout.
Andy Myers' men overcame the disappointment of conceding a last-minute equaliser to claim a potentially-crucial extra point at St James' Park.
That result in August has proven to be a rare positive during the early weeks of the campaign, Chelsea Under-21s since losing four of their five matches in Premier League 2 Division One.
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Team News
Barton will almost certainly ring the changes ahead of the weekend, handing starts to the likes of Luke Thomas and Sam Nicholson.
Nick Anderton is expected to feature at the back, while Brett Pitman should get an outing in the final third.
Chelsea will look to name the majority of the players which featured against Exeter.
However, Harvey Vale will play no part having spent time with the England Under-19s squad, while Jude Soonsup-Bell is one of four players who are with the Under-18s.
Young Norwegian forward Bryan Fiabema will hope to get on the scoresheet in this competition for the second game in succession.
We say: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Chelsea Under-21s
Given the small margins for error in this group, do not expect to see the most free-flowing of games at the Memorial Stadium. This contest could end in a draw, with Chelsea potentially edging a penalty shootout after their experiences against Exeter.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 57.22%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 21.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
