West Brom4 - 1Blackburn
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Blackburn Rovers
Although West Brom are light in terms of attacking options due to Diangana's AFCON involvement and Sarmiento's departure, the hosts still have a first-choice defence available, which has been key to so many of their wins at The Hawthorns this season. Blackburn have lost their last four Championship away matches - conceding 13 goals in the process - and we cannot imagine Rovers earning anything on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
57.51% ( -0.11) | 21.56% ( 0.03) | 20.92% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.88% ( -0.05) | 40.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.51% ( -0.05) | 62.49% ( 0.05) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.25% ( -0.05) | 13.75% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.97% ( -0.1) | 41.03% ( 0.1) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.22% ( 0.04) | 32.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.66% ( 0.04) | 69.34% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 57.51% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.92% |
