Champions League

Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal
1 - 0
Bayern

(Villarreal win 2-1 on aggregate)

Danjuma (8')
Estupinan (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Real Sociedad	38	3	62
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55

Bayern Munich

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	34	60	77
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64

We said: Villarreal 0-2 Bayern Munich

Back-to-back league defeats to sides whom they would have expected to beat is not a recipe for success for Villarreal ahead of the visit of Bayern, but they normally prove to be a tough nut to crack at home. However, playing on rival turf in the Champions League has not phased Bayern for several years now, and we can only picture Nagelsmann's free-scoring crop claiming a healthy first-leg advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Bayern Munich
26.32%	24.18%	49.5%

Both teams to score 55.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.78%

46.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48%

68.51%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.51%

31.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.13%

67.87%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.26%

18.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.89%

50.11%

Score Analysis

Villarreal 26.32%

Bayern Munich 49.5%

Draw 24.18%

Villarreal	Draw	Bayern Munich
1-0 @ 6.82% 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.78% Total : 26.32%	1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.18%	0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 5.34% 0-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 2.24% 0-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.29% Total : 49.5%