Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.