Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Tirana had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Tirana win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Red Star Belgrade in this match.