Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round

Aug 25, 2020 at 7pm UK

Tirana
0 - 1
Red Star

Vangjeli (32'), Celhaka (43'), Najdoski (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tomane (62')
Sanogo (34')

Coverage of the Champions League Second Qualifying Round clash between KF Tirana and Red Star Belgrade.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Tirana had a probability of 20.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Tirana win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Red Star Belgrade in this match.

Result
KF Tirana	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
20.34%	26.1%	53.56%

Both teams to score 43.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.01%

58.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.54%

79.46%

KF Tirana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.81%

44.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.72%

80.28%

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83%

22.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.44%

55.56%

Score Analysis

KF Tirana 20.34%

Red Star Belgrade 53.54%

Draw 26.1%

KF Tirana	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 8% 2-1 @ 4.92% 2-0 @ 3.27% 3-1 @ 1.34% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.34%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 14.75% 0-2 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-3 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-4 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.78% Total : 53.54%