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Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Sep 19, 2021 at 1am UK
Castelao
Santos

Ceara
0 - 0
Santos


Kelvyn (19'), Messias (25'), Erick (90+2')
FT

Para (36'), Camacho (43')

Preview: Ceara vs. Santos - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Ceara and Santos will square off on Sunday, in a clash between two sides separated by just one point and one place in the bottom half of the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A table.

Both teams find themselves in difficult runs of form, with the hosts failing to win any of their last five league outings, and the visitors without a victory in eight games in all competitions.


Match preview

Santos' Lucas Braga celebrates with teammates after an own goal scored by Libertad and Santos' second on August 13, 2021© Reuters

After a strong start to the domestic season, Ceara sat in seventh spot in the Brazilian top flight with 22 points from their opening 14 outings, but their form has taken a major dip in recent weeks.

The Alvinegro Cearense have now collected just two points from their last five league games, and come into Sunday's match on the back of consecutive defeats.

Following a creditable goalless draw with Flamengo, Ceara were handed a 2-0 defeat by newly-promoted America Mineiro, before losing to 18th-placed Gremio by the same scoreline last time out, with Diego Souza and Ferreira netting goals on the stroke of half time.

That poor run of form recently triggered the dismissal of manager Guto Ferreira, and former Gremio boss Tiago Nunes has now been tasked with reversing the side's fortunes.

Heading into a new era under Nunes's charge, the Vozao will be keen to make a quick return to winning ways to kickstart a climb back up the table.

They take on a Santos side in a very similar situation, with the visitors also finding themselves in their toughest run of the season.

Ceara's Saulo Mineiro with teammates after the match on June 20, 2021© Reuters

After enjoying a steady rise up to sixth spot in the Brasileiro table, Sunday's visitors now find themselves without a victory in their last six league outings, having firstly played out draws with Corinthians, Fortaleza and Internacional.

The Alvinegro then suffered a 4-0 thrashing at the hands of Flamengo on home turf, as Gabriel Barbosa hit a hat-trick before Andreas Pereira added a fourth in the dying minutes.

After falling to a 2-1 defeat to Cuiaba, Santos played out a goalless draw with Bahia last time out, and, similarly to their opponents, have recently turned to a new manager, with Fabio Carille now in charge of guiding the Peixe up the table.

He will hope to start his tenure with a victory over a side who sit just one point and one place above them in the table.

Ceara Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L

Santos Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Santos form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Santos' Marinho celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on June 25, 2021© Reuters

Ceara have several injury concerns to deal with, as Klaus, Willian and Joao Ricardo are all out of action.

Jael should again lead the line with the support of an attacking trio consisting of Lima, Vina and Stiven Mendoza.

Santos have a long injury list to deal with, as the likes of Jobson, Kaiky, John and Sandry are all in the treatment room.

They still boast a threatening front line though, with forward Leo Baptistao flanked by wingers Marinho and Lucas Braga.

Gabriel Pirani will also offer additional threat going forward, having registered three goals and an assist from a midfield role so far this season.

Ceara possible starting lineup:
Richard; Dias, Messias, Otavio, Pacheco; Sobral, Fabinho; Lima, Vina, Mendoza; Jael

Santos possible starting lineup:
Paulo; Para, Balieiro, Leonardo, Jonatan; Sanchez, Mota; Marinho, Pirani, Braga; Baptistao


SM words green background

We say: Ceara 1-2 Santos

With both sides in poor runs of form but hoping to feel the benefits of a change in management, something is bound to give on Sunday.

We see the visitors' slightly superior attacking quality getting them over the line, with the likes of Braga and Marinho potentially making the difference as Peixe look to kickstart a revival.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Santos had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.


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Santos' Lucas Braga celebrates with teammates after an own goal scored by Libertad and Santos' second on August 13, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras35217757282970
2Botafogo352010553272670
3FortalezaFortaleza341810649341564
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Atletico Mineiro351014114449-544
11Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude35912144355-1239
16Fluminense34108163038-838
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


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