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Championship | Gameweek 38
Jun 20, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Bristol City

Blackburn
3 - 1
Bristol City

Evans (37'), Adarabioyo (61'), Armstrong (71')
Lenihan (56'), Evans (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Paterson (34')
Pereira (12'), Massengo (16')

Preview: Blackburn Rovers vs. Bristol City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole provides team news, predicted lineups and a full preview of Saturday's Championship fixture between Blackburn Rovers and Bristol City.

Blackburn Rovers and Bristol City square off on Saturday afternoon with just two points separating the clubs in the Championship standings.

Despite sitting just below the playoffs, both teams have failed to win for at least four matches at the second tier.


Match preview

Bristol City boss Lee Johnson on February 1, 2020© Reuters

Having witnessed his Bristol City side go five games without success, Lee Johnson will be relieved that the Robins remain well in contention for a playoff spot.

The draws against Millwall and Fulham have stemmed the run of defeats, leaving Bristol just one point behind sixth-placed Preston North End and five adrift of Brentford in fourth spot.

With four games to come in the half-a-dozen games which follow the visit to Ewood Park, Johnson knows that avoiding defeat for a third successive match will help his team continue to build some momentum ahead of a crucial stage of the season.

Although the recent stalemates have come as a result of letting leads slip from their grasp, the positives will be taken from only conceding one goal in each of their last two outings after the previous free-for-all at the back.

Draws against Brentford, Stoke City and Swansea City have also been enough to keep Blackburn in the playoff picture in recent weeks, results which extended their unbeaten record to five matches.

However, the 3-0 loss at Derby County means that they have now gone four games without success, putting a different spin on the team's progress under Tony Mowbray.

One positive result is capable of turning the tide for the better, especially against opponents who are also struggling for confidence in more than one area of the pitch.

Nevertheless, another setback could leave Blackburn as low as 12th position and six points away from their target, potentially leaving them with too much to do during the final eight contests of the campaign.

Blackburn Rovers Championship form: WWDDDL

Bristol City Championship form: WLLLDD


Team News

Filip Benkovic in action for Dinamo Zagreb on May 24, 2018© Reuters

With Nathan Baker sidelined through injury, Johnson is expected to hand a recall to Leicester City loanee Filip Benkovic.

Niclas Eliasson is also pushing for an appearance in the Bristol starting lineup after only featuring on the substitutes' bench against Fulham.

Andreas Weimann is likely to get the nod over Famara Diedhiou in attack, with Nahki Wells keeping his place after netting last weekend.

Blackburn will be without midfielder John Buckley after he picked up a red card against Derby.

Bradley Johnson is pushing for a start in midfield, potentially at the expense of Ben Brereton who could drop out if Sam Gallagher or Adam Armstrong are used further forward.

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Walton; Nyambe, Lenihan, Adarabioyo, Bell; Travis, Johnson; Gallagher, Downing, Rothwell; Armstrong

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Maenpaa; Pereira, Kalas, Benkovic, Dasilva; Paterson, Smith, Massengo, Eliasson; Weimann, Wells


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Bristol City

Both teams will naturally be wary of handing each other an advantage in the race for the playoffs when squaring off at Ewood Park, and we feel that this will inevitably lead to a low-scoring draw being played out in the North-West.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.


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Tom Cairney in action for Fulham on November 1, 2018
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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