Brasileiro | Gameweek 23

Aug 21, 2022 at 11pm UK

Vila Belmiro, Santos

Santos
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

Braga (33')
Eduardo (43'), Leonardo (45+5'), Jonatan (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nikao (44')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: America Mineiro 2-2 Sao Paulo
Friday, August 19 at 1am in Copa do Brasil

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	America Mineiro	22	-5	30
11	Sao Paulo	22	4	29
12	Goias	23	-5	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 44.23%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 27.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	Sao Paulo
44.23% ( -0.78)	27.99% ( 0.67)	27.78% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 45.42% (

-1.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.92% (

-2.27)

60.07% (

2.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.7% (

-1.76)

80.29% (

1.76)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

-1.45)

27.04% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.59% (

-1.93)

62.4% (

1.93)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.25% (

-1.15)

37.74% (

1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.48% (

-1.14)

74.52% (

1.14)

Score Analysis

Santos 44.22%

Sao Paulo 27.78%

Draw 27.98%

Santos	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.87% Total : 44.22%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.68% Total : 27.78%