Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Goias would win this match.