Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.