Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.