Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Santos had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.