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Barcelona logo
La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 5, 2021 at 8pm UK
Camp Nou
Real Valladolid logo

Barcelona
1 - 0
Real Valladolid

Dembele (90')
Griezmann (28'), Mingueza (43'), Braithwaite (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bruno (40'), Guardiola (73'), Masip (80'), Guardiola (90+4')
Plano (79')

Preview: Barcelona vs. Real Valladolid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Barcelona will be looking to record a sixth straight La Liga victory when they welcome Real Valladolid to Camp Nou on Monday evening.

Ronald Koeman's side are currently second in the table, four points behind leaders Atletico Madrid, while Valladolid occupy 16th position and are just three points clear of the relegation zone.


Match preview

Lionel Messi in action for Barcelona on March 15, 2021© Reuters

Barca were knocked out of the Champions League by Paris Saint-Germain last month, but it could still be a successful end to the season for Koeman's side, who are pursuing two trophies.

Indeed, the Catalan giants will take on Athletic Bilbao in the final of the Copa del Rey on April 16, while they are very much in the hunt for the La Liga title despite having issues during the 2020-21 campaign.

As it stands, Barca are second in the table, two points above third-placed Real Madrid and four points behind Atletico. However, there is a strong chance that the picture will have changed by the time that they take to the field for this match as both Real Madrid and Atletico are in action over the weekend.

Koeman's team have the small matter of a trip to Real Madrid next weekend, and they are on an impressive run of form in Spain's top flight, winning each of their last five - including a thumping 6-1 victory over Real Sociedad last time out - while not since the start of December have the 26-time Spanish champions been beaten in the league.

Barca's recent record over Valladolid is also strong, with victory in the last five league meetings between the two sides, including a 5-1 win when the pair last locked horns at Camp Nou in October 2019.

Barcelona's Oscar Mingueza in action with Real Valladolid's Marcos de Sousa in La Liga on December 22, 2020© Reuters

Valladolid, who are currently battling to stay above the relegation zone, will be looking to pull off a surprise on Monday evening, and the visitors will bring a four-game unbeaten run into the fixture.

Sergio Gonzalez's side are currently 16th in the table, three points clear of the relegation zone, and they have only managed to win five of their 28 league fixtures this term.

As mentioned, the White and Violets are unbeaten in their last four games, drawing with Celta Vigo, Osasuna and Sevilla, in addition to beating Getafe, since losing 1-0 at home to Real Madrid on February 20.

Valladolid are bidding to secure a third straight season at this level of football, and they have only lost five of their 14 away league fixtures this term, which is an impressive record considering their position in the table.

Barcelona La Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Barcelona form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Real Valladolid La Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D



Team News

Barcelona's Gerard Pique pictured on February 16, 2021© Reuters

Barca will again be without the services of Philippe Coutinho, Ansu Fati and Gerard Pique through injury, while Neto is a doubt due to an ankle problem.

Sergi Roberto has returned to full fitness, though, and the Catalan giants also did not pick up any injuries during the international break, meaning that Koeman has a strong squad to choose from.

Oscar Mingueza could again get the nod over Ronald Araujo to start in a back three, while Antoine Griezmann and Ousmane Dembele should feature alongside Lionel Messi in the final third of the field.

As for Valladolid, Jota, Pablo Hervias, Raul Garcia and Kiko Olivas are all still unavailable through injury, while Fabian Orellana will be unable to play on Monday through suspension.

The visitors will also be without the services of Joaquin Fernandez, Michel, Kike Perez, Luis Perez and Roberto Jimenez, with all five players returning positive coronavirus tests.

Sergi Guardiola and Shon Weismann are again likely to feature as the front two for Valladolid, while Jordi Masip, Javi Sanchez and Bruno Gonzalez should all come into the first XI.

Barcelona possible starting lineup:
Ter Stegen; Mingueza, De Jong, Lenglet; Dest, Busquets, Pedri, Alba; Dembele, Messi, Griezmann

Real Valladolid possible starting lineup:
Masip; Sanchez, Gonzalez, El Yamiq; Janko, Alcaraz, Mesa, Olaza; Plano; Weissman, Guardiola


SM words green background

We say: Barcelona 3-0 Real Valladolid

Barca are in excellent form at the moment and put six past Real Sociedad just before the international break. Valladolid will be missing a number of important players on Monday, and it is therefore extremely difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable victory for Koeman's side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 78.89%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 7.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.19%) and 1-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Barcelona vs Real Valladolid

Barcelona
90.8%
Draw
4.2%
Real Valladolid
4.9%
142
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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