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Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 6, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Martinez Valero
Barcelona logo

Elche
1 - 2
Barcelona

Fidel (44')
Barragan (56'), Ponce (67')
Pastore (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Torres (60'), Depay (84' pen.)
Araujo (49'), Dembele (58'), Alves (71'), Gonzalez (72'), Pique (82'), Depay (90+6')

Preview: Elche vs. Barcelona - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Barcelona will be bidding to make it three La Liga victories in a row when they travel to Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero on Sunday afternoon to take on Elche.

The Catalan giants are currently fourth in the table, one point behind third-placed Real Betis with a game in hand, while Elche occupy 13th, eight points clear of the relegation zone.


Match preview

Elche's Lucas Boye celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates as Real Madrid's Eden Hazard reacts on January 23, 2022© Reuters

Elche have won four times in the league since January 10, which has allowed them to move away from the relegation zone, with the club currently sitting 13th in the table on 29 points.

Los Franjiverdes are eight points clear of the relegation zone and actually only four points behind ninth-placed Valencia, so they should be looking up the table rather than down at this stage, although Francisco's side will enter this weekend's contest off the back of a disappointing result.

Indeed, the Green-Striped ones suffered a 3-0 defeat at Levante on February 25, which proved to be their second straight loss on their travels, but they have impressively won four of their last five La Liga matches in front of their own supporters, including each of their last three.

Elche have not finished higher than 13th in La Liga since claiming 11th in 1976-77, so it could be a famous campaign for the club if they are able to push up the table in the coming weeks.

Los Ilicitanos have lost each of their last five La Liga matches against Barcelona, though, including a 2-0 defeat in the corresponding match last term, while the Catalan giants recorded a 3-2 victory in the reverse clash earlier this season at Camp Nou.

Barcelona's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang celebrates scoring their first goal on February 27, 2022© Reuters

Barcelona, meanwhile, continued their impressive run of form in La Liga with a 4-0 victory over Athletic Bilbao last weekend, which made it four wins in their last five matches in Spain's top flight.

The Catalan giants have not actually lost in the league since the start of December, and they currently sit fourth in the table, level on points with fifth-placed Atletico Madrid but just one behind third-placed Real Betis, who have played a game more, so the race for third and fourth in La Liga is fascinating.

Barcelona are not in a title race this season, sitting 15 points behind leaders Real Madrid, but they would be just six points behind second-placed Sevilla if they win their match in hand, so it is not impossible to imagine them claiming the runners-up spot, which would be a success considering their struggles this term.

Xavi's side are also fighting for success in Europe, preparing to take on Galatasaray in the first leg of their last-16 Europa League affair on March 10, having impressively overcome Napoli in the previous round.

The Catalan side will play five times in March, including a trip to Real Madrid on March 20, and it will be fascinating to see what they can achieve this season, particularly with a number of players now finding their best form, including Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who has netted five times in six appearances since his arrival during the January transfer window.

Elche La Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Elche form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Barcelona La Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Barcelona form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Barcelona's Gerard Pique celebrates scoring their third goal with teammates on February 24, 2022© Reuters

Elche will again be without the services of Javier Pastore, John Donald and Helibelton Palacios this weekend through injury, while Gerard Gumbau is out of the match through suspension.

Gumbau's position in the middle of midfield could be taken by Raul Guti, while there could also be a change out wide, with Fidel potentially coming in for Guido Carrillo, with Pere Milla moving further forward.

Head coach Francisco is likely to resist the temptation to make wholesale changes from the side that started against Levante, with the same back four expected to remain in place for the match.

As for Barcelona, Alejandro Balde, Ansu Fati, Sergi Roberto and Samuel Umtiti remain on the sidelines through injury, but the visitors are otherwise in strong shape.

Jordi Alba is back from a one-match suspension and should start at left-back, with Sergino Dest likely to return to right-back, while Frenkie de Jong could be back in central midfield.

Ousmane Dembele, Memphis Depay and Luuk de Jong all scored off the bench against Athletic last time out, but the trio are likely to be among the substitutes once again, with Aubameyang set to be joined by Adama Traore and Ferran Torres in the final third of the field.

Elche possible starting lineup:
Badia; Barragan, Roco, Bigas, Mojica; Morente, Mascarell, Guti, Fidel; Milla, Boye

Barcelona possible starting lineup:
Ter Stegen; Dest, Araujo, Pique, Alba; F de Jong, Busquets, Pedri; Traore, Aubameyang, Torres


SM words green background

We say: Elche 1-2 Barcelona

Elche's recent home form has been excellent and must be taken into consideration when predicting this match, but we are finding it difficult to back against Barcelona, who are on an impressive run of form. It could be a tight scoreline, but the visitors should shade this contest on Sunday afternoon.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.66%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Elche had a probability of 14.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Elche win it was 2-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.


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Game History

How you voted: Elche vs Barcelona

Elche
4.9%
Draw
8.5%
Barcelona
86.6%
142
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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