Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.