Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Feb 1, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Boca Juniors1 - 1Sarmiento
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Sarmiento.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Boca Juniors
Saturday, January 27 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, January 27 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Sarmiento
Thursday, January 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, January 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.16%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boca Juniors | Draw | Sarmiento |
53.99% ( 0.03) | 27.43% ( -0.1) | 18.58% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 38% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.21% ( 0.36) | 64.79% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.26% ( 0.25) | 83.74% ( -0.24) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.51% ( 0.18) | 24.49% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.05% ( 0.24) | 58.95% ( -0.24) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.32% ( 0.31) | 49.68% ( -0.3) |