Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10

Oct 23, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
2 - 1
Sarmiento

Boselli (43' pen.), Romero (71')
Zuqui (23'), Benedetti (32')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cruz Kaprof (52')
Marinelli (6'), Quiroz (30'), Devecchi (57'), Diaz (74'), Calcaterra (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions

Last Game: Platense 2-1 Estudiantes
Wednesday, October 18 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sarmiento

All competitions

Last Game: Sarmiento 1-1 Racing
Friday, October 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Sarmiento
59.14% ( -0.92)	24.66% ( 0.17)	16.2% ( 0.75)

Both teams to score 40.63% (

0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.97% (

0.48)

59.03% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.51% (

0.37)

79.49% (

-0.37)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

-0.17)

19.91% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.95% (

-0.27)

52.05% (

0.27)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.73% (

1.32)

49.26% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.86% (

0.92)

84.14% (

-0.92)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 59.14%

Sarmiento 16.2%

Draw 24.65%

Estudiantes	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 15.83% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 12.77% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.3% Total : 59.14%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.44% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.89% Total : 16.2%