Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Feb 25, 2023 at 10.15pm UK

Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
1 - 1
Sarmiento

Ascacibar (53')
Zuqui (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Melano (84')
Manuel Insaurralde (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 0-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, February 18 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sarmiento

All competitions

Last Game: Sarmiento 0-1 San Lorenzo
Monday, February 20 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Sarmiento
57.85% ( -0.15)	25.05% ( 0.07)	17.1% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 41.24% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.85% (

-0.14)

59.14% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.42% (

-0.11)

79.58% (

0.11)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.53% (

-0.11)

20.46% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07% (

-0.18)

52.93% (

0.18)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.85% (

0.02)

48.14% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.66% (

0.02)

83.34% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 57.84%

Sarmiento 17.1%

Draw 25.04%

Estudiantes	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 15.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 57.84%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.1%