Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Daegu win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Lion City Sailors had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Daegu win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Lion City Sailors win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Daegu in this match.