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Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 4, 2024 at 8am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Western Sydney Wanderers

Macarthur
4 - 3
Western Sydney

Germain (18' pen., 45+4', 90+3'), Borges Rodrigues (32')
Adamson (8'), Hollman (72')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Brook (20', 42'), Milanovic (28')
Rudan (9'), Badolato (38'), Marcelo (53'), Scicluna (74'), Priestman (90+6')
Beadling (52')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 2-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, January 28 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, January 27 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
34.75% (-0.252 -0.25) 22.9% (0.029 0.03) 42.35% (0.229 0.23)
Both teams to score 65.24% (-0.17 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.21% (-0.197 -0.2)35.79% (0.204 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.14% (-0.219 -0.22)57.86% (0.227 0.23)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.217 -0.22)20.94% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-0.346 -0.35)53.68% (0.351 0.35)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.52% (0.015999999999991 0.02)17.48% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)47.97% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 34.75%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 42.35%
    Draw 22.9%
MacarthurDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.72% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.75%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.38% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.57% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 42.35%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 6am
Gameweek 10
Western Sydney
3-1
Macarthur
Antonsson (3'), Simmons (12'), Yuel (84')
Clisby (45+2')
Hollman (20')
Borges Rodrigues (12'), Jurman (27'), Lewis (45+3'), Jones (90+6')
Apr 8, 2023 10.45am
Gameweek 23
Macarthur
2-2
Western Sydney
Rose (66'), Toure (90+1')
Borrello (42', 90+5')
Feb 25, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 18
Western Sydney
4-0
Macarthur
Borrello (3'), Amalfitano (37'), Schneiderlin (56' pen.), Nieuwenhof (61')
Jan 1, 2023 6am
Gameweek 10
Western Sydney
4-0
Macarthur
Ngbakoto (16'), Bozanic (18'), Borrello (70'), Najjarine (88' pen.)
May 8, 2022 7.05am
Gameweek 11
Macarthur
1-1
Western Sydney
Juric (55' pen.)
Carluccio (10')
rhs 2.0
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