Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
Vaasan Palloseura	Draw	Ilves
27.67% ( -0.01)	27.1% ( -0)	45.22% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.79% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.97% (

0.01)

57.03% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.08% (

0.01)

77.91% (

-0.01)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.84% (

-0)

36.16% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.05% (

-0)

72.94% (

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.86% (

0.01)

25.14% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.15% (

0.02)

59.85% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Vaasan Palloseura 27.68%

Ilves 45.21%

Draw 27.1%

Vaasan Palloseura	Draw	Ilves
1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.92% Total : 27.68%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 12.55% 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.21%