Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 4
Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Elisa Stadion
VPS3 - 2HJK Helsinki
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Vaasan Palloseura and HJK Helsinki.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: VPS 1-1 Inter Turku
Friday, September 29 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Friday, September 29 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Goals
for
for
47
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
43.59% ( 0.83) | 25.86% ( 0.16) | 30.54% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.11% ( -1.04) | 50.89% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.23% ( -0.92) | 72.77% ( 0.92) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.05) | 23.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.86% ( -0.07) | 57.14% ( 0.08) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% ( -1.2) | 30.77% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.96% ( -1.44) | 67.04% ( 1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Vaasan Palloseura 43.59%
HJK Helsinki 30.55%
Draw 25.86%
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.59% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.55% |
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 4pm
Apr 15, 2023 4.30pm
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Apr 18, 2022 4pm
