Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.