Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lahti would win this match.