Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lahti would win this match.