Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.