Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hansa Rostock win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hansa Rostock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.