Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 59.92%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 20.34% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.66%) and 1-3 (7.16%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
Elversberg	Draw	St Pauli
20.34% ( -0.29)	19.74% ( -0.04)	59.92% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 63.77% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.84% (

-0.22)

32.16% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.24% (

-0.26)

53.75% (

0.27)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31% (

-0.38)

28.69% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.49% (

-0.48)

64.51% (

0.49)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.43% (

0.02)

10.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.68% (

0.03)

34.32% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Elversberg 20.34%

St Pauli 59.92%

Draw 19.74%

Elversberg	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 20.34%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.74%	1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 7.16% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 5.74% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 59.92%